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Changchun Xidu vs Taian Tiankuang

China China

League Two Yatai Training Base Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Liu Yang
(Penalty)
9'
Wang Meng
46'
Yang Lei

AI Match Summary

Changchun Xidu in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Changchun Xidu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Changchun Xidu
39%
Draws
31%
Taian Tiankuang
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Changchun Xidu haven't matched Taian Tiankuang's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Changchun Xidu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Changchun Xidu Clean Sheet 68%
Taian Tiankuang Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Xidu Taian Tiankuang
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 12
Draws 15 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 League Two
Taian Tiankuang vs Changchun Xidu
0:1
Apr 15, 2026 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Taian Tiankuang
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Taian Tiankuang
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 League Two
Taian Tiankuang vs Changchun Xidu
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Xidu 41 / 100
Taian Tiankuang 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Xidu Taian Tiankuang

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Taian Tiankuang conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Changchun Xidu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Taian Tiankuang's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Xidu VS Taian Tiankuang
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B16102423:1332
2Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1626815:2812
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179