Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Changchun Yatai vs Dalian Kun City

China China

League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Lei Wenjie
Assist: Lu Kun
35' Event
Tan Long
Assist: Salazar J.
37' Event
Omoijuanfo O.
Assist: Salazar J.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Changchun Yatai and Dalian Kun City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Changchun Yatai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Changchun Yatai
30%
Draws
29%
Dalian Kun City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Changchun Yatai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Changchun Yatai come out ahead of Dalian Kun City on wins alone.
  • Changchun Yatai are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 13%
Dalian Kun City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Dalian Kun City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Dalian Kun City
2:1
May 21, 2025 FA Cup
Dalian Kun City vs Changchun Yatai
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Tan Long
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omoijuanfo O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dalian Kun City Compare

Top Goalscorer Lei Wenjie
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 35 / 100
Dalian Kun City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Dalian Kun City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dalian Kun City has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Changchun Yatai's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Changchun Yatai stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Dalian Kun City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Yatai

(Home)
08 Aug
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 1
Changchun Yatai
02 Aug
Changchun Yatai
2 : 2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
25 Jul
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Nanjing City
17 Jul
Changchun Yatai
1 : 5
Wuxi Wugou
05 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Changchun Yatai
Page 1 of 6

Dalian Kun City

(Away)
08 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
2 : 1
Dalian Kun City
01 Aug
Dalian Kun City
2 : 2
Shaanxi Union
26 Jul
Dalian Kun City
0 : 0
Suzhou Dongwu
18 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 0
Dalian Kun City
11 Jul
Dalian Kun City
2 : 0
Nanjing City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 18 12 4 2 33:16 40
2 Shenzhen Juniors 18 9 5 4 28:21 32
3 Nantong Zhiyun 17 8 7 2 21:13 31
4 Guangxi Hengchen 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
5 Yanbian Longding 18 7 8 3 24:15 29
6 Ningbo Professional 17 8 3 6 23:22 24
7 Wuxi Wugou 16 6 5 5 28:18 23
8 Shaanxi Union 17 6 5 6 25:16 23
9 Dingnan Ganlian 18 4 9 5 28:35 21
10 Nanjing City 18 5 5 8 17:20 20
11 Changchun Yatai 17 7 2 8 26:32 19
12 Dalian Kun City 17 4 6 7 22:26 18
13 Meizhou Hakka 18 6 2 10 19:34 17
14 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 18 3 6 9 12:22 15
15 Suzhou Dongwu 18 4 5 9 14:23 14
16 Foshan Nanshi 18 2 5 11 19:35 11
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)