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Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Muhamet In: Salazar J.
Out: Muhamet
50' Event
Chen Xuhuang
59'
Sub
Yao-hsing Yu In: Mbo N.
Out: Yao-hsing Yu

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Changchun Yatai and Guangxi Hengchen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guangxi Hengchen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Changchun Yatai
15%
Draws
54%
Guangxi Hengchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guangxi Hengchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guangxi Hengchen come out ahead of Changchun Yatai on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 19%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Guangxi Hengchen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Chen Xuhuang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Chen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chen G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 36 / 100
Guangxi Hengchen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Guangxi Hengchen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangxi Hengchen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Changchun Yatai scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Changchun Yatai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guangxi Hengchen conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Guangxi Hengchen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Yatai

(Home)
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0
Ningbo Professional
30 Aug
Guangdong GZ-Power
3 : 0
Changchun Yatai
Page 1 of 6

Guangxi Hengchen

(Away)
25 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
18 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1
Yanbian Longding
06 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
0 : 1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
29 Aug
Nanjing City
0 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 24 16 6 2 48:20 54
2 Guangxi Hengchen 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
3 Shenzhen Juniors 24 12 8 4 39:25 44
4 Nantong Zhiyun 24 11 9 4 33:20 42
5 Shaanxi Union 24 10 6 8 38:26 36
6 Yanbian Longding 24 9 8 7 33:27 35
7 Wuxi Wugou 24 9 5 10 36:29 32
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 24 8 7 9 22:25 31
9 Changchun Yatai 24 10 3 11 37:40 29
10 Ningbo Professional 24 9 5 10 27:30 29
11 Dalian Kun City 24 7 8 9 30:36 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 24 7 8 9 28:33 26
13 Dingnan Ganlian 24 4 11 9 35:46 23
14 Nanjing City 24 5 6 13 20:33 21
15 Meizhou Hakka 24 7 3 14 25:50 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 24 2 7 15 24:49 13
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)