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Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Hakka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Changchun Yatai host Meizhou Hakka in the League One. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Meizhou Hakka have shipped 2.14 goals a game lately, while Changchun Yatai have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Changchun Yatai slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.13, favoring Changchun Yatai. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Changchun Yatai
35%
Draws
26%
Meizhou Hakka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Changchun Yatai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Changchun Yatai lately — more wins on the board than Meizhou Hakka.
  • Win probability leans Changchun Yatai's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 20%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Meizhou Hakka
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai
1:3
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Hakka
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Super League
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 Super League
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai
2:1
Apr 26, 2024 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Hakka
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 85 / 100
Meizhou Hakka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Meizhou Hakka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Changchun Yatai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meizhou Hakka let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Changchun Yatai found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Changchun Yatai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Meizhou Hakka
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Yatai

(Home)
10 Oct
Dalian Kun City
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
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Meizhou Hakka

(Away)
10 Oct
Meizhou Hakka
0 : 3
Wuxi Wugou
06 Oct
Dingnan Ganlian
0 : 0
Meizhou Hakka
19 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
13 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 1
Nanjing City
06 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
5 : 1
Meizhou Hakka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 26 13 9 4 35:20 48
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 26 12 6 8 47:28 42
6 Wuxi Wugou 26 10 6 10 41:31 36
7 Yanbian Longding 26 9 9 8 34:29 36
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 26 9 8 9 23:25 35
9 Changchun Yatai 26 10 5 11 39:42 31
10 Dalian Kun City 26 7 9 10 31:38 30
11 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 26 7 10 9 30:35 28
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 26 7 4 15 25:53 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 26 3 7 16 26:54 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)