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Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
06:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Changchun Yatai host Nantong Zhiyun in the League One. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Nantong Zhiyun have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Changchun Yatai have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Changchun Yatai slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.31, favoring Nantong Zhiyun. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Changchun Yatai
35%
Draws
49%
Nantong Zhiyun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nantong Zhiyun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nantong Zhiyun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nantong Zhiyun's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 18%
Nantong Zhiyun Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Nantong Zhiyun
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 League One
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun
3:2
May 5, 2024 Super League
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai
2:3
Aug 4, 2023 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun
1:1
May 6, 2023 Super League
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 23 / 100
Nantong Zhiyun 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Nantong Zhiyun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantong Zhiyun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Changchun Yatai remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Nantong Zhiyun conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Nantong Zhiyun
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Yatai

(Home)
17 Oct
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 2
Changchun Yatai
10 Oct
Dalian Kun City
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
Page 1 of 6

Nantong Zhiyun

(Away)
18 Oct
Meizhou Hakka
0 : 1
Nantong Zhiyun
11 Oct
Yanbian Longding
0 : 1
Nantong Zhiyun
06 Oct
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 0
Ningbo Professional
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
18 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 27 18 6 3 55:26 60
2 Nantong Zhiyun 27 14 9 4 36:20 51
3 Guangxi Hengchen 27 13 8 6 43:30 47
4 Shenzhen Juniors 27 12 10 5 42:31 46
5 Shaanxi Union 27 13 6 8 51:28 45
6 Yanbian Longding 27 10 9 8 39:29 39
7 Wuxi Wugou 27 10 6 11 41:33 36
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 27 9 8 10 23:26 35
9 Changchun Yatai 27 10 6 11 41:44 32
10 Ningbo Professional 27 9 7 11 28:32 31
11 Dalian Kun City 27 7 10 10 32:39 31
12 Suzhou Dongwu 27 7 11 9 31:36 29
13 Dingnan Ganlian 27 5 12 10 38:49 27
14 Nanjing City 27 6 7 14 22:37 25
15 Meizhou Hakka 27 7 4 16 25:54 22
16 Foshan Nanshi 27 3 7 17 26:59 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)