Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Changchun Yatai vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu

China China

League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Changchun Yatai host Shijiazhuang Gongfu in the League One. This one's hard to separate. Shijiazhuang Gongfu have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Changchun Yatai have conceded 2.25 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Shijiazhuang Gongfu slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Shijiazhuang Gongfu. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Changchun Yatai
39%
Draws
31%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Changchun Yatai have won more games recently than Shijiazhuang Gongfu.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 16%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League One
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Changchun Yatai
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 30 / 100
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Shijiazhuang Gongfu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Changchun Yatai scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Changchun Yatai has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Yatai

(Home)
25 Jul
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Nanjing City
17 Jul
Changchun Yatai
1 : 5
Wuxi Wugou
05 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Changchun Yatai
27 Jun
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
13 Jun
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Dalian Kun City
Page 1 of 6

Shijiazhuang Gongfu

(Away)
25 Jul
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1 : 1
Nantong Zhiyun
17 Jul
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0 : 0
Yanbian Longding
11 Jul
Guangdong GZ-Power
2 : 0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
04 Jul
Ningbo Professional
2 : 1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
27 Jun
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2 : 1
Nanjing City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power16113230:1536
2Yanbian Longding1677223:1328
3Nantong Zhiyun1576215:1127
4Guangxi Hengchen1575326:1726
5Shenzhen Juniors1675426:2126
6Ningbo Professional1683521:1824
7Wuxi Wugou1565428:1723
8Shaanxi Union1564522:1222
9Nanjing City1653815:1818
10Dingnan Ganlian1639425:2918
11Changchun Yatai1571723:2818
12Dalian Kun City1545619:2217
13Meizhou Hakka1652916:3114
14Shijiazhuang Gongfu162598:1911
15Foshan Nanshi16241016:3110
16Suzhou Dongwu1625911:228
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)