Sport Picks
Changchun Yatai vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun 
Match Events
6'
6'
Conraad T.
32'
32'
Jiang Zilei
46'
46'
Sub
Chen Xuhuang In: Tudi Dilyimit
Out: Chen Xuhuang
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Changchun Yatai average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Shijiazhuang Gongfu's 0.9.
- Win probability leans Shijiazhuang Gongfu's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 17%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Changchun Yatai | Shijiazhuang Gongfu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 League One
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Changchun Yatai
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Changchun Yatai Compare
Top Goalscorer Tan Long
1 Goals Assists Leader Salazar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Compare
Top Goalscorer Conraad T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dominic Vinicius
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Changchun Yatai 28 / 100
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Changchun Yatai Shijiazhuang Gongfu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shijiazhuang Gongfu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Changchun Yatai scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Changchun Yatai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Changchun Yatai VS Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Changchun Yatai
(Home) 10 Oct
Dalian Kun City
1 : 1 Changchun Yatai
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0 Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1 Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 Yanbian Longding
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0 Ningbo Professional
23 Aug
Changchun Yatai
6 : 0 Foshan Nanshi
02 Aug
Changchun Yatai
2 : 2 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Page 1 of 3
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
(Away) 10 Oct
Suzhou Dongwu
0 : 0 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
06 Oct
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1 : 0 Dalian Kun City
19 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
13 Sept
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0 : 0 Shenzhen Juniors
06 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
0 : 1 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Suzhou Dongwu
0 : 0 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
19 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
06 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
0 : 1 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
22 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
1 : 2 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
16 Aug
Foshan Nanshi
1 : 2 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 52:21 | 57 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 35:20 | 48 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 40:27 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:29 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Wuxi Wugou | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:31 | 36 |
| 7 | Yanbian Longding | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34:29 | 36 |
| 8 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23:25 | 35 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Dalian Kun City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:38 | 30 |
| 11 | Ningbo Professional | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27:31 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35:46 | 24 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 25:53 | 22 |
| 15 | Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21:37 | 21 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26:54 | 16 |
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)
