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Stadium Background

Changchun Yatai vs Suzhou Dongwu

China China

League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Tan Long
27'
Wu Zhicheng
46'
Sub
Wang Yulong In: Liu Jiqiang
Out: Wang Yulong

AI Match Summary

Changchun Yatai in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Changchun Yatai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Changchun Yatai
28%
Draws
22%
Suzhou Dongwu
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Changchun Yatai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Changchun Yatai have won more games recently than Suzhou Dongwu.
  • Win probability leans Changchun Yatai's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 68%
Suzhou Dongwu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Suzhou Dongwu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Suzhou Dongwu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Tan Long
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Suzhou Dongwu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 59 / 100
Suzhou Dongwu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Suzhou Dongwu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Suzhou Dongwu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Changchun Yatai remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Suzhou Dongwu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Suzhou Dongwu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Yatai

(Home)
17 Jul
Changchun Yatai
1 : 5
Wuxi Wugou
05 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Changchun Yatai
27 Jun
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
13 Jun
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Dalian Kun City
30 May
Yanbian Longding
2 : 2
Changchun Yatai
Page 1 of 6

Suzhou Dongwu

(Away)
17 Jul
Suzhou Dongwu
0 : 0
Shenzhen Juniors
11 Jul
Yanbian Longding
3 : 1
Suzhou Dongwu
04 Jul
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 2
Guangdong GZ-Power
28 Jun
Suzhou Dongwu
1 : 2
Ningbo Professional
21 Jun
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 4
Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power15103228:1433
2Shenzhen Juniors1575326:1826
3Nantong Zhiyun1475214:1026
4Guangxi Hengchen1474322:1325
5Yanbian Longding1567221:1225
6Ningbo Professional1583420:1624
7Wuxi Wugou1455426:1720
8Shaanxi Union1454519:1219
9Nanjing City1553714:1618
10Dingnan Ganlian1538421:2517
11Dalian Kun City1444619:2216
12Changchun Yatai1461721:2715
13Meizhou Hakka1552815:2914
14Shijiazhuang Gongfu152497:1810
15Foshan Nanshi1524916:2910
16Suzhou Dongwu1524911:227
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)