Sport Picks
Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun 
Match Events
13'
13'
Giovanny
17'
17'
Sub
Muhamet In: Du Kaile
Out: Muhamet
35'
35'
Brown F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Changchun Yatai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Yanbian Longding have won more games recently than Changchun Yatai.
- 62% — that's where the model lands on Changchun Yatai taking it.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 68%
Yanbian Longding Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Changchun Yatai | Yanbian Longding |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding
1:1
May 30, 2026 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Changchun Yatai
2:2
Aug 13, 2017 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding
1:1
Apr 29, 2017 Super League
Yanbian Longding vs Changchun Yatai
1:0
Aug 21, 2016 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Changchun Yatai Compare
Top Goalscorer Salazar J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Yanbian Longding Compare
Top Goalscorer Giovanny
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Changchun Yatai 95 / 100
Yanbian Longding 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Changchun Yatai Yanbian Longding
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Changchun Yatai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Changchun Yatai's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Yanbian Longding has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Changchun Yatai remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Changchun Yatai VS Yanbian Longding
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Changchun Yatai
(Home) 06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0 Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1 Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0 Ningbo Professional
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 Yanbian Longding
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0 Ningbo Professional
23 Aug
Changchun Yatai
6 : 0 Foshan Nanshi
02 Aug
Changchun Yatai
2 : 2 Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Page 1 of 3
Yanbian Longding
(Away) 06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 Yanbian Longding
18 Sept
Yanbian Longding
1 : 2 Guangdong GZ-Power
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1 Yanbian Longding
05 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
2 : 0 Yanbian Longding
29 Aug
Shaanxi Union
3 : 1 Yanbian Longding
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 Yanbian Longding
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1 Yanbian Longding
05 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
2 : 0 Yanbian Longding
29 Aug
Shaanxi Union
3 : 1 Yanbian Longding
22 Aug
Ningbo Professional
2 : 3 Yanbian Longding
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 52:21 | 57 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34:20 | 45 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 40:27 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:29 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:27 | 39 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:28 | 36 |
| 7 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 23:25 | 34 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38:31 | 33 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 38:41 | 30 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27:31 | 29 |
| 11 | Dalian Kun City | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30:37 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 27 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35:46 | 24 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:50 | 22 |
| 15 | Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21:37 | 21 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25:49 | 16 |
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)
