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Changwon vs Busan Kyotong

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Changwon and Busan Kyotong finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Changwon
39%
Draws
30%
Busan Kyotong
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Busan Kyotong carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Changwon Clean Sheet 17%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changwon Busan Kyotong
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Busan Kyotong
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Busan Kyotong
3:0
Jun 28, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Changwon
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Changwon
2:1
Apr 7, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Busan Kyotong
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 31 / 100
Busan Kyotong 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changwon Busan Kyotong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changwon found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Busan Kyotong let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Changwon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Busan Kyotong
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5
Gimhae
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
04 Jul
Changwon
3 : 0
Geumsan Insam
27 Jun
Changwon
2 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
20 Jun
Changwon
1 : 1
Mokpo
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Busan Kyotong

(Away)
15 Jul
Busan Kyotong
2 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
11 Jul
Siheung Citizen
0 : 2
Busan Kyotong
05 Jul
Busan Kyotong
2 : 1
Gijang United
28 Jun
Busan Kyotong
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
21 Jun
Busan Kyotong
1 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)