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Changwon vs Gangneung - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Changwon host Gangneung in the K3 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Changwon have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Gangneung's 1.03 scored and 1.33 conceded. Past meetings favor Changwon slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.69) back Changwon to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Changwon
15%
Draws
59%
Gangneung
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gangneung

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Changwon at 1.34 per game, Gangneung at 1.03.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Changwon Clean Sheet 13%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changwon Gangneung
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Changwon
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Gangneung
2:1
May 18, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Changwon
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 K3 League
Gangneung vs Changwon
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Gangneung
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 31 / 100
Gangneung 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changwon Gangneung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gangneung Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Changwon scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Gangneung has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Changwon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Gangneung
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)
03 Oct
Changwon
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
Page 1 of 6

Gangneung

(Away)
02 Oct
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Gangneung
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Gangneung
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
10 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)