Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup

Changwon

1 - 5

Gimhae

Our Tip

Match Events

Hong W.

15'

Yeo J.

24'

Lee Jun-Gyu

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-5. This leg finished 1-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Changwon

30%

Draws

47%

Gimhae

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimhae

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Changwon have won more games recently than Gimhae.
Model gives Changwon a 36% chance of winning this.
Changwon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Gimhae, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Gimhae have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Changwon Clean Sheet 14%

Gimhae Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Changwon	Gimhae
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	4
Draws	10	9
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	1.31	1
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Korean Cup

Changwon vs Gimhae

1:5

Sep 7, 2025 K3 League

Gimhae vs Changwon

2:1

May 10, 2025 K3 League

Changwon vs Gimhae

0:1

Jun 29, 2024 K3 League

Changwon vs Gimhae

0:2

Mar 3, 2024 K3 League

Gimhae vs Changwon

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Won-Jun

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Gimhae Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeo J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Hong W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 35 / 100

Gimhae 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Changwon Gimhae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimhae has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Changwon scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gimhae lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Gimhae

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)

13 Sept

Siheung Citizen

3 : 1

Changwon

05 Sept

Changwon

0 : 1

Daejeon Korail

22 Aug

Busan Kyotong

4 : 3

Changwon

26 Jul

Changwon

1 : 1

Jeonbuk 2

15 Jul

Changwon

1 : 5

Gimhae

Page 1 of 6

Gimhae

(Away)

13 Sept

Busan

2 : 0

Gimhae

05 Sept

Gimhae

2 : 2

Jeonnam

30 Aug

Gimhae

0 : 3

Yongin FC

22 Aug

Suwon FC

2 : 0

Gimhae

15 Aug

Gimhae

1 : 1

Gyeongnam

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon -

TBD -

Siheung Citizen -

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen -

TBD -

Chuncheon -

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Yangsan United 1

Anseong Citizen 2

TBD -

Mokpo -

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong -

TBD -

Gijang United -

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen -

TBD -

Sejong SA -

Seosan Pioneer -

TBD -

Gyeongju KHNP -

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Yeonsu Songdo 0

Ulsan FC 4

TBD -

Yangpyeong -

Pyeongtaek Citizen -

TBD -

Yeoju Citizen -

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman -

TBD -

Dangjin Citizen -

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju -

TBD -

Seoul Jungnang -

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Cheongju Showking 3

Yangcheon TNT 9

TBD -

Pyeongchang United -

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon -

TBD -

Geumsan Insam -

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail -

TBD -

Pocheon -

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 2

Areum 1

TBD -

Geoje -

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen -

TBD -

Gangneung -

1/64-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon 1

Siheung Citizen 2

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 2

Chuncheon 1

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Anseong Citizen 2

Mokpo 3

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Gijang United 1

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen 2

Sejong SA 1

Seosan Pioneer 0

Gyeongju KHNP 3

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Ulsan FC 1

Yangpyeong 5

Pyeongtaek Citizen 1

Yeoju Citizen 3

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 3

Seoul Jungnang 1

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Yangcheon TNT 1

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 3

Geumsan Insam 0

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail 0

Pocheon 2

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 0

Geoje 4

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen 0

Gangneung 2

1/32-finals

Jeonnam 3

Chungnam Asan 4

Daegu 0

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 4

Seoul E-Land 2

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City 2

Mokpo 1

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Suwon Bluewings 1

Ansan Greeners 0

Jinju Citizen 2

Gyeongju KHNP 0

Cheongju 4

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong 4

Yangpyeong 3

Yeoju Citizen 1

Gyeongnam 0

Yongin FC 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 1

Gimpo FC 2

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC 3

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 1

Gimhae 5

Seongnam 2

Pocheon 1

Busan 4

Geoje 0

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier 3

Gangneung 2

1/16-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 1

Ulsan Hyundai 0

Gwangju FC 1

Cheonan City 0

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 1

Jinju Citizen 2

Cheongju 1

Anyang 3

Jeju SK 4

Hwaseong 3

Yeoju Citizen 0

Dangjin Citizen 1

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Gimpo FC 1

Incheon 0

Gimcheon Sangmu 2

Suwon FC 1

Gangwon -

TBD -

Gimhae 0

Seongnam 1

Busan 2

Seoul 0

Bucheon FC 1995 3

Paju Frontier 0

1/8-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Daejeon 3

Ulsan Citizen 0

Gwangju FC 1

Pohang 3

Jinju Citizen 1

Anyang 2

Jeju SK 1

Dangjin Citizen 3

Jeonbuk 2

Gimpo FC 2

Gimcheon Sangmu 1

Gangwon 1

Seongnam 0

Busan 0

Bucheon FC 1995 1

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Changwon vs Gimhae

South Korea

Changwon

Gimhae

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Changwon Compare

Gimhae Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

Gimhae

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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