Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup

Changwon

1 - 5

Gimhae

Our Tip

Match Events

Hong W.

15'

Yeo J.

24'

Lee Jun-Gyu

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimhae in this Korean Cup matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimhae.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Changwon

40%

Draws

29%

Gimhae

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Changwon have won more games recently than Gimhae.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Cup games in Korean Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Gimhae have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Changwon Clean Sheet 20%

Gimhae Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Changwon	Gimhae
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	16	10
Draws	10	7
Losses	7	13
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Korean Cup

Changwon vs Gimhae

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

1:5

Sep 7, 2025 K3 League

Gimhae vs Changwon

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

May 10, 2025 K3 League

Changwon vs Gimhae

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Jun 29, 2024 K3 League

Changwon vs Gimhae

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Mar 3, 2024 K3 League

Gimhae vs Changwon

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Won-Jun

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Gimhae Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeo J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Hong W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 32 / 100

Gimhae 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Changwon Gimhae

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Changwon scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Gimhae conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Changwon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Gimhae

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

Daegu-

TBD-

Jincheon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen-

TBD-

Chuncheon-

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Yangsan United1

Anseong Citizen2

TBD-

Mokpo-

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong-

TBD-

Gijang United-

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen-

TBD-

Sejong SA-

Seosan Pioneer-

TBD-

Gyeongju KHNP-

TBD-

Cheongju-

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Yeonsu Songdo0

Ulsan FC4

TBD-

Yangpyeong-

Pyeongtaek Citizen-

TBD-

Yeoju Citizen-

TBD-

Gyeongnam-

Yongin FC-

TBD-

Haman-

TBD-

Dangjin Citizen-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju-

TBD-

Seoul Jungnang-

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

TBD-

Cheongju Showking3

Yangcheon TNT9

TBD-

Pyeongchang United-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon-

TBD-

Geumsan Insam-

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

TBD-

Daejeon Korail-

TBD-

Pocheon-

Busan-

TBD-

Incheon Seogot2

Areum1

TBD-

Geoje-

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier-

TBD-

Jecheon Citizen-

TBD-

Gangneung-

1/64-finals

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

Daegu-

TBD-

Jincheon1

Siheung Citizen2

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen2

Chuncheon1

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Anseong Citizen2

Mokpo3

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong2

Gijang United1

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen2

Sejong SA1

Seosan Pioneer0

Gyeongju KHNP3

TBD-

Cheongju-

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Ulsan FC1

Yangpyeong5

Pyeongtaek Citizen1

Yeoju Citizen3

TBD-

Gyeongnam-

Yongin FC-

TBD-

Haman0

Dangjin Citizen2

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju3

Seoul Jungnang1

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

TBD-

Yangcheon TNT1

Pyeongchang United2

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon3

Geumsan Insam0

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

TBD-

Daejeon Korail0

Pocheon2

Busan-

TBD-

Incheon Seogot0

Geoje4

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier-

TBD-

Jecheon Citizen0

Gangneung2

1/32-finals

Jeonnam3

Chungnam Asan4

Daegu0

Siheung Citizen1

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen4

Seoul E-Land2

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City2

Mokpo1

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong2

Suwon Bluewings1

Ansan Greeners0

Jinju Citizen2

Gyeongju KHNP0

Cheongju4

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong4

Yangpyeong3

Yeoju Citizen1

Gyeongnam0

Yongin FC0

Dangjin Citizen2

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju1

Gimpo FC2

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC3

Pyeongchang United2

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon1

Gimhae5

Seongnam2

Pocheon1

Busan4

Geoje0

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier3

Gangneung2

1/16-finals

Chungnam Asan-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

Cheonan City-

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong-

Jinju Citizen-

Cheongju-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

Hwaseong-

Yeoju Citizen-

Dangjin Citizen-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Gimpo FC-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

Suwon FC-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

Busan-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

Paju Frontier-

1/8-finals

TBD-

Daejeon-

TBD-

Pohang-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

TBD-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-