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Changwon vs Jeonbuk 2

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Yoon H.
37' Event
Kim Woo-Hong

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Changwon
20%
Draws
40%
Jeonbuk 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jeonbuk 2 haven't matched Changwon's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Changwon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Changwon Clean Sheet 18%
Jeonbuk 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changwon Jeonbuk 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 2
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Jeonbuk 2
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 K3 League
Jeonbuk 2 vs Changwon
2:3
Aug 1, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Jeonbuk 2
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 K3 League
Jeonbuk 2 vs Changwon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Woo-Hong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Jeonbuk 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoon H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 31 / 100
Jeonbuk 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changwon Jeonbuk 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Changwon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeonbuk 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Changwon scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Jeonbuk 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Jeonbuk 2
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
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Jeonbuk 2

(Away)
13 Sept
Jeonbuk 2
1 : 3
Mokpo
29 Aug
Gangneung
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
18 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 0
Jeonbuk 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)