Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup 2025

Changwon

Sat, Mar 22, 2025

1 - 2

05:00 AM

Namyangju

Our Tip

Match Events

47'

Tae Hyun-Chan

88'

Park H. m.

Suk Hyun-Jun

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Namyangju in this Korean Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Changwon

44%

Draws

20%

Namyangju

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Changwon have won more games recently than Namyangju.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Changwon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Namyangju, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Changwon Clean Sheet 20%

Namyangju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Changwon	Namyangju
Matches Played	30	25
Wins	13	10
Draws	10	5
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Korean Cup

Changwon vs Namyangju

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tae Hyun-Chan

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Namyangju Compare

Top Goalscorer Park H. m.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 36 / 100

Namyangju 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Changwon Namyangju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Namyangju conceded in 84% of 25 recent games.

Changwon's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Changwon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Namyangju

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)

15 Jul

Changwon

1 : 5

Gimhae

12 Jul

Changwon

1 : 1

Chuncheon

04 Jul

Changwon

3 : 0

Geumsan Insam

27 Jun

Changwon

2 : 2

Yeoju Citizen

20 Jun

Changwon

1 : 1

Mokpo

Page 1 of 6

Namyangju

(Away)

25 Jul

Jecheon Citizen

2 : 3

Namyangju

15 Jul

Namyangju

1 : 2

Gimpo FC

12 Jul

Namyangju

2 : 1

Haman

05 Jul

Namyangju

3 : 1

Seoul Jungnang

28 Jun

Jincheon

2 : 2

Namyangju

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Yangsan Eogok1

Busan Kyotong2

TBD-

Busan-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Gyeongju KHNP-

TBD-

Seoul Jungnang0

Paju Frontier3

Ulsan Hyundai-

TBD-

Gimhae Jaemics2

Chuncheon4

TBD-

Incheon-

Gyeongnam-

TBD-

Pyeongchang United2

Yangpyeong1

Hyochang0

Gijang United4

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Cheongsol0

Pocheon5

TBD-

Pohang-

Yeoju Citizen4

Mokpo3

TBD-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Jeju SK-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

Incheon Seogot0

Daejeon Korail9

TBD-

Cheongju-

Changwon-

TBD-

Geonyung1

Namyangju5

TBD-

Seoul-

Dangjin Citizen1

Gangneung2

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Jeonbuk-

TBD-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jeonbuk Jeonju0

Pyeongtaek Citizen6

Sejong SA3

Ulsan Citizen0

TBD-

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Anyang-

Daegu-

TBD-

Gimhae-

TBD-

Yangcheon TNT0

Geoje1

Gangwon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Seongnam-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen1

Yeoncheon0

1/32-finals

Busan Kyotong2

Busan1

TBD-

Suwon FC-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Gyeongju KHNP4

Paju Frontier1

Ulsan Hyundai-

TBD-

Chuncheon0

Incheon3

Gyeongnam0

Pyeongchang United3

Gijang United0

Gimpo FC4

Cheonan City1

Pocheon0

TBD-

Pohang-

Yeoju Citizen1

Bucheon FC 19953

TBD-

Jeju SK-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings2

Seoul E-Land1

Daejeon Korail1

Cheongju0

Changwon1

Namyangju2

TBD-

Seoul-

Gangneung1

Chungnam Asan0

TBD-

Daejeon-

Jeonbuk-

TBD-

Ansan Greeners3

Pyeongtaek Citizen1

Sejong SA3

Jeonnam1

TBD-

Anyang-

Daegu-

TBD-

Gimhae5

Geoje1

Gangwon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen3

Seongnam2

Hwaseong1

Jinju Citizen0

1/16-finals

Busan Kyotong1

Suwon FC2

Gwangju FC2

Gyeongju KHNP0

Ulsan Hyundai-

TBD-

Incheon2

Pyeongchang United1

Gimpo FC2

Cheonan City1

TBD-

Pohang-

Bucheon FC 19951

Jeju SK0

Gimcheon Sangmu2

Suwon Bluewings0

Daejeon Korail3

Namyangju0

TBD-

Seoul-

Gangneung1

Daejeon2

Jeonbuk3

Ansan Greeners0

Sejong SA0

Anyang1

Daegu2

Gimhae0

Gangwon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen1

Hwaseong0

1/8-finals

Suwon FC1

Gwangju FC2

Ulsan Hyundai3

Incheon0

Gimpo FC2

Pohang1

Bucheon FC 19953

Gimcheon Sangmu1

Daejeon Korail1

Seoul2

Daejeon2

Jeonbuk3

Anyang1

Daegu2

Gangwon2

Siheung Citizen1

Quarter-finals

Gwangju FC1

Ulsan Hyundai0

Gimpo FC1

Bucheon FC 19953

Seoul0

Jeonbuk1

Daegu1

Gangwon2

Semi-finals

Gwangju FC4

Bucheon FC 19951

Jeonbuk3

Gangwon2

Final

Gwangju FC1

Jeonbuk2