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Changwon vs Pocheon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Changwon host Pocheon in the K3 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Changwon at 1.34 goals for, 1.24 against; Pocheon at 1.63 for, 0.9 against. Past meetings favor Pocheon slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.88) point toward Pocheon. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Changwon
15%
Draws
59%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Changwon haven't matched Pocheon's recent run of results.
  • Pocheon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Changwon Clean Sheet 10%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changwon Pocheon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Changwon
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Pocheon
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Changwon
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Pocheon
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Changwon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 26 / 100
Pocheon 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changwon Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changwon's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pocheon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Changwon has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Pocheon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)
03 Oct
Changwon
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
Page 1 of 6

Pocheon

(Away)
03 Oct
Pocheon
0 : 0
Chuncheon
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)