Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapada U20 vs Acao U20

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapada U20 play Acao U20 in the Matogrossense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chapada U20 averaged 0.64 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Acao U20 averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Chapada U20 won 2, Acao U20 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Chapada U20 and 1.69 for Acao U20. This points to a Acao U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chapada U20
34%
Draws
33%
Acao U20
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Acao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Chapada U20 picked up more points recently compared to Acao U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
Chapada U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Acao U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapada U20 Acao U20
Matches Played 14 20
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.64 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Matogrossense U20
Chapada U20 vs Acao U20
3:0
Jun 6, 2026 Matogrossense U20
Acao U20 vs Chapada U20
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Chapada U20 vs Acao U20
2:2
Jul 24, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Acao U20 vs Chapada U20
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapada U20 32 / 100
Acao U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapada U20 Acao U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Acao U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chapada U20 attacking → ← attacking Acao U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapada U20 scored in 43% of their last 14 games.

Acao U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Chapada U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Acao U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 19
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uirapuru U20650110:315
2Uniao Rondonopolis U20640213:812
3SE Vila Aurora U20630313:59
4Academia U2060061:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cacerense U20440017:312
2Santa Cruz MT U2041123:84
3Campo Novo U2040133:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cuiaba U20660031:318
2Paulistano FC U2063037:89
3Chapada U2061144:114
4Acao U2061141:214
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sport Sinop U20642016:914
2Luverdense U20623113:129
3Gremio Sorriso U2061238:105
4Sorriso EC U2061147:134