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Chapada vs Uirapuru Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Chapada Logo

Chapada

1 - 1
FT
Uirapuru Logo

Uirapuru

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Chapada
30%
Draws
16%
Uirapuru
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chapada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chapada lately — more wins on the board than Uirapuru.
  • Model gives Uirapuru a 16% chance of winning this.
  • Chapada have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chapada Clean Sheet 12%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapada Uirapuru
Matches Played 21 14
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.81 2
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Chapada vs Uirapuru
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapada 19 / 100
Uirapuru 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapada Uirapuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uirapuru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uirapuru let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Chapada's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Chapada has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chapada VS Uirapuru
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapada

(Home)
30 Sept
Chapada
2 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
Page 1 of 5

Uirapuru

(Away)
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapada 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 0 2 9:10 6
5 Uirapuru 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Cacerense 3 2 0 1 7:8 6
3 Sorriso EC 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Campo Novo 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)