Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapadao vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Chapadao Logo

Chapadao

1 - 0
FT
Operario MS Logo

Operario MS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chapadao in this Sul-Matogrossense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chapadao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chapadao
15%
Draws
39%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapadao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Operario MS lately — more wins on the board than Chapadao.
  • Win probability leans Chapadao's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 19%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapadao Operario MS
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Chapadao
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Operario MS
1:0
Apr 6, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Operario MS
1:1
Mar 20, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Chapadao
4:0
Mar 13, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Operario MS
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapadao 36 / 100
Operario MS 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapadao Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadao found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Operario MS let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Chapadao has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario MS
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapadao

(Home)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
Page 1 of 6

Operario MS

(Away)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)