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Chapadinha vs Moto Club

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Ryan
45'
Ryan
76' Event
Rangel P.

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2024 game between Chapadinha and Moto Club finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moto Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chapadinha
33%
Draws
27%
Moto Club
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chapadinha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moto Club come out ahead of Chapadinha on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Chapadinha taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Moto Club here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Chapadinha Clean Sheet 68%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapadinha Moto Club
Matches Played 21 33
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs Moto Club
0:1
Jan 20, 2024 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Chapadinha
4:2
Feb 5, 2023 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Chapadinha
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapadinha Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Moto Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Rangel P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapadinha 50 / 100
Moto Club 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapadinha Moto Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Moto Club has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chapadinha scored in 52% of their last 21 games.

Defensive concern: Moto Club conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moto Club
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maranhao1494127:931
2Sampaio Correa1484224:1328
3Imperatriz1474317:1225
4Moto Club1445515:2017
5Pinheiro1428420:1914
6Tuntum1454519:2313
7Chapadinha1423911:239
8Cordino EC1414914:287