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Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Joinville U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Sat, Jul 4, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapecoense-SC U20 play Joinville U20 in the Catarinense U20. Chapecoense-SC U20 are favorites here. Recently, Chapecoense-SC U20 averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Joinville U20 averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Chapecoense-SC U20 won 4, Joinville U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Chapecoense-SC U20 and 1.00 for Joinville U20. This points to a Chapecoense-SC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chapecoense-SC U20
25%
Draws
15%
Joinville U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Chapecoense-SC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Joinville U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Chapecoense-SC U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC U20 Joinville U20
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.89 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:3
Jul 23, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:3
May 5, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Joinville U20
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Joinville U20
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC U20 59 / 100
Joinville U20 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC U20 Joinville U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Chapecoense-SC U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chapecoense-SC U20 attacking → ← attacking Joinville U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC U20 scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Joinville U20 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Chapecoense-SC U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Joinville U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 31
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Avai U201174028:825
2Barra FC U201173127:1424
3Chapecoense-SC U201162322:1820
4Criciuma U201054118:619
5Figueirense U201245319:1417
6Nacao U201243526:2115
7Carlos Renaux U201242612:2314
8Concordia U201133511:1912
9Joinville U201113710:246
10Brusque U2013111114:404