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Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Joinville U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
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Match Events

16' Event
45' Event
71'

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Chapecoense-SC U20 and Joinville U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapecoense-SC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chapecoense-SC U20
20%
Draws
44%
Joinville U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Joinville U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chapecoense-SC U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chapecoense-SC U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Chapecoense-SC U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC U20 Joinville U20
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.86 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Joinville U20
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:3
Jul 23, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:3
May 5, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Joinville U20
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC U20 95 / 100
Joinville U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC U20 Joinville U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joinville U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Chapecoense-SC U20's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Solid form: Chapecoense-SC U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC U20 VS Joinville U20
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Operario PR U20
3 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
16 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC U20
08 Aug
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
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Joinville U20

(Away)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)