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Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Marcilio Dias U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Juan Ferreira
34' Event
David Antunes
54' Event
Oliveira W.

AI Match Summary

Chapecoense-SC U20 in this Catarinense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chapecoense-SC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chapecoense-SC U20
6%
Draws
4%
Marcilio Dias U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chapecoense-SC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC U20 have won more games recently than Marcilio Dias U20.
  • Model gives Chapecoense-SC U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chapecoense-SC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Marcilio Dias U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC U20 Marcilio Dias U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Marcilio Dias U20
3:2
May 17, 2025 Catarinense U20
Marcilio Dias U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
1:2
Jun 27, 2024 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Marcilio Dias U20
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 Catarinense U20
Marcilio Dias U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapecoense-SC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Juan Ferreira
1 Goals
Assists Leader David Antunes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Marcilio Dias U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira da Costa Baptista G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC U20 85 / 100
Marcilio Dias U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC U20 Marcilio Dias U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marcilio Dias U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Chapecoense-SC U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Chapecoense-SC U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC U20 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chapecoense-SC U2018124241:1540
2Barra FC U2018116138:1539
3Criciuma U2018115228:938
4Figueirense U201893638:3130
5Joinville U201891831:2928
6Avai U201866632:2724
7Marcilio Dias U2018351020:3614
8Concordia U201827919:3613
9Nacao U2018331214:4012
10Brusque U2018241217:4010