Sport Picks

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Chapecoense-SC vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Arena Condá, Chapecó
Sun, Jun 7, 2026
3 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Joao Paulo
25'
Joao Paulo
45'
Wallison

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Chapecoense-SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chapecoense-SC
44%
Draws
20%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC haven't matched Avai's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Avai arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chapecoense-SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 23%
Avai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Avai
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Chapecoense-SC vs Avai
3:1
Jun 3, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Avai vs Chapecoense-SC
3:0
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Chapecoense-SC vs Avai
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Catarinense
Avai vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Avai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Pacheco
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Avai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 37 / 100
Avai 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chapecoense-SC scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Avai conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Chapecoense-SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS Avai
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
Santos
2 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4
Flamengo RJ
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
04 Jul
Gremio
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
07 Jun
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 1
Avai
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Avai

(Away)
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Avai
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1
America MG
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0
Nautico
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Chapecoense-SC4
Novorizontino2
Avai5
Volta Redonda2
Final
Chapecoense-SC3
Avai4