Sport Picks
Chapecoense-SC vs Sao Bernardo Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Copa Sul-Sudeste Arena Condá, Chapecó 
Match Events
43'
43'
Wermeson
45'
45'
Hugo Sanches
57'
57'
Sub
Dudu Miraima In: Marcao
Out: Dudu Miraima
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Bernardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sao Bernardo have won more games recently than Chapecoense-SC.
- Sao Bernardo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Sao Bernardo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Chapecoense-SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 23%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapecoense-SC | Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Chapecoense-SC vs Sao Bernardo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chapecoense-SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Wermeson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Sao Bernardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel Amorim
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chapecoense-SC 29 / 100
Sao Bernardo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chapecoense-SC Sao Bernardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chapecoense-SC's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Sao Bernardo let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Chapecoense-SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chapecoense-SC VS Sao Bernardo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chapecoense-SC
(Home) 26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3 Bahia
02 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 0 Cruzeiro
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 3
Sao Bernardo
(Away) 02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 CRB
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0 Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2 Londrina
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
28 Aug
Goias
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
19 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 3 | SER Caxias do Sul | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Cianorte | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 5 | Tombense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | 5 |
| 6 | Sampaio Correa FE | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avai | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Volta Redonda | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 4 | America MG | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)
