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Chapelton vs Waterhouse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Knight S.
15' Event
Brown R.
29' Event
Murray C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Chapelton and Waterhouse finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waterhouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chapelton
20%
Draws
57%
Waterhouse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Waterhouse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Waterhouse a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Waterhouse here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapelton Waterhouse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Waterhouse
0:6
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Chapelton
3:0
Jan 22, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Waterhouse
0:1
Sep 30, 2025 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Chapelton
3:0
Mar 31, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Waterhouse
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapelton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Knight S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapelton 10 / 100
Waterhouse 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapelton Waterhouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterhouse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Chapelton scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Waterhouse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Chapelton has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chapelton VS Waterhouse
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapelton

(Home)
05 Oct
Chapelton
0 : 6
Waterhouse
27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1
Chapelton
20 Sept
Chapelton
2 : 1
Molynes United
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
Page 1 of 6

Waterhouse

(Away)
08 Oct
Portmore
1 : 1
Waterhouse
05 Oct
Chapelton
0 : 6
Waterhouse
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0
Treasure Beach
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waterhouse 4 3 1 0 14:1 10
2 Montego Bay 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Tivoli 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Cavalier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
7 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
8 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
9 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Chapelton 4 1 1 2 3:10 4
11 Molynes United 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
12 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
13 Humble Lions 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
14 FC Dunbeholden 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)