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Chapulineros vs Cordobes FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Tue, Nov 10, 2026
VS
02:05 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapulineros host Cordobes FC in the Primera Premier. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chapulineros have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Cordobes FC's 1.03 scored and 1.28 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.44) point toward Chapulineros. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Chapulineros
15%
Draws
32%
Cordobes FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapulineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cordobes FC come out ahead of Chapulineros on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chapulineros a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 16%
Cordobes FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapulineros Cordobes FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapulineros 39 / 100
Cordobes FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapulineros Cordobes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapulineros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chapulineros scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Cordobes FC let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Chapulineros has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Cordobes FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chapulineros VS Cordobes FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapulineros

(Home)
24 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Montaneses
03 Oct
Tapachula
2 : 3
Chapulineros
26 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 3
Pioneros
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 1
Chapulineros
Page 1 of 6

Cordobes FC

(Away)
25 Oct
Celaya
2 : 1
Cordobes FC
18 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 0
Cordobes FC
10 Oct
Cordobes FC
1 : 0
Tigres de Alica
05 Oct
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Cordobes FC
26 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 1
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 8 8 0 0 20:5 25
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 8 5 0 3 14:13 15
3 Tigres de Alica 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
4 Zacatepec 8 3 2 3 8:9 12
5 Lobos ULMX 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
6 Los Cabos United 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
7 Cordobes FC 8 2 1 5 6:11 7
8 Purepechas 7 1 1 5 3:8 4
9 Tritones Vallarta 7 0 2 5 4:9 2
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 8 5 3 0 19:7 20
2 Pioneros 8 5 2 1 18:7 18
3 Celaya 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
5 Deportiva Venados 8 3 2 3 17:15 12
6 Chapulineros 8 3 2 3 11:15 11
7 Montaneses 9 3 1 5 12:18 9
8 Tapachula 8 2 0 6 8:20 6
9 Inter Playa Del Carmen 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)