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Charleroi B vs St. Liege U23

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
N'Salambi A.
24' Event
Mbuyi J.

AI Match Summary

St. Liege U23 in this National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Liege U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Charleroi B
30%
Draws
31%
St. Liege U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleroi B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charleroi B lately — more wins on the board than St. Liege U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Charleroi B Clean Sheet 16%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi B St. Liege U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Charleroi B vs St. Liege U23
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Charleroi B vs St. Liege U23
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleroi B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

St. Liege U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer N'Salambi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbuyi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi B 36 / 100
St. Liege U23 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi B St. Liege U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Charleroi B scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

St. Liege U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Charleroi B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi B VS St. Liege U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi B

(Home)
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1
Charleroi B
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0
Charleroi B
06 Sept
Charleroi B
2 : 2
Flenu
30 Aug
Charleroi B
1 : 0
Renaissance Mons
26 Aug
Tubize-Braine
1 : 0
Charleroi B
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St. Liege U23

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Meux
30 Aug
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Tubize-Braine
26 Aug
OC Charleroi
0 : 5
St. Liege U23
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