Sport Picks
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belgium
Jupiler Pro League Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi 
Match Events
15'
15'
Mbemba F.
Assist: Romsaas J.
25'
25'
Scheidler A.
Assist: Pflucke P.
30'
30'
Vanzeir D.
Assist: Erick Nunes
AI Match Summary
Charleroi in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleroi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Charleroi have won more games recently than Cercle Brugge.
- 78% — that's where the model lands on Charleroi taking it.
- Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 20%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charleroi | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge
3:2
Feb 7, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge
3:4
Sep 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Charleroi
2:3
Jan 25, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Charleroi
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charleroi Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbemba F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Scheidler A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Cercle Brugge Compare
Top Goalscorer Vanzeir D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charleroi 85 / 100
Cercle Brugge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charleroi Cercle Brugge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleroi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Charleroi scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Cercle Brugge conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Charleroi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Charleroi VS Cercle Brugge
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Charleroi
(Home) 19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1 Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3 Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3 Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0 KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3 Royale Union SG
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0 KV Mechelen
09 Aug
Charleroi
3 : 1 Leuven
01 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 3 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 4
Cercle Brugge
(Away) 19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1 Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3 Gent
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1 Lommel SK
23 Aug
Club Brugge
1 : 0 Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1 Cercle Brugge
23 Aug
Club Brugge
1 : 0 Cercle Brugge
08 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 2 Cercle Brugge
31 Jul
Monaco
2 : 2 Cercle Brugge
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Gent | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:3 | 18 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Waregem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 7 | St. Liege | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Lommel SK | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 10 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Genk | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 9 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 8 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 15 | Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Kortrijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 18 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)
