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Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Balliu I.
24' Event
Nteka R.
36'
Ousou A.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Vallecano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Charleroi
15%
Draws
31%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Charleroi at 1.53 per game, Rayo Vallecano at 1.33.
  • Model gives Charleroi a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 16%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano
2:3
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Scheidler A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solheid N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Rayo Vallecano Compare

Top Goalscorer Nteka R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 84 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Rayo Vallecano let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Charleroi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS Rayo Vallecano
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
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Rayo Vallecano

(Away)
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
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