Sport Picks
Charleston vs Hartford Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Patriots Point Soccer Complex, Mount Pleasant, SC 
Match Events
18'
18'
Messer N.
20'
20'
Makangila B.
20'
20'
Ycaza E.
AI Match Summary
Hartford Athletic in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hartford Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Charleston have won more games recently than Hartford Athletic.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Charleston taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Charleston Clean Sheet 19%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charleston | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Hartford Athletic
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston
1:2
May 3, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Hartford Athletic
4:2
Jul 12, 2024 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Charleston
2:2
May 4, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Hartford Athletic
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charleston Compare
Top Goalscorer Pakhomov K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Hartford Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Coffey B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charleston 58 / 100
Hartford Athletic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charleston Hartford Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charleston scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Hartford Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Charleston has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Charleston VS Hartford Athletic
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Charleston
(Home) 26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
24 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Miami FC
01 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 3
Hartford Athletic
(Away) 04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
05 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
12 Aug
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4 Hartford Athletic
09 Aug
Indy Eleven
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
