Sport Picks
Charleston vs Rhode Island - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Patriots Point Soccer Complex, Mount Pleasant, SC 
Match Events
12'
12'
Kwizera J.
27'
27'
Sub
Allan C. In: Houssou N.
Out: Allan C.
28'
28'
Kwizera J.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rhode Island haven't matched Charleston's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Charleston have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Charleston, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Charleston Clean Sheet 68%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charleston | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Rhode Island
2:1
Sep 26, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Rhode Island
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Charleston
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Rhode Island
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Charleston
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charleston Compare
Top Goalscorer Berry M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Rhode Island Compare
Top Goalscorer Kwizera J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charleston 41 / 100
Rhode Island 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charleston Rhode Island
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Charleston scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Rhode Island has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Charleston remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Charleston VS Rhode Island
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Charleston
(Home) 24 Oct
Charleston
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
17 Oct
Miami FC
1 : 2 Charleston
14 Oct
Hartford Athletic
1 : 1 Charleston
10 Oct
Charleston
0 : 2 Louisville City
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Charleston
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
10 Oct
Charleston
0 : 2 Louisville City
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
Rhode Island
(Away) 24 Oct
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Rhode Island
17 Oct
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
14 Oct
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Loudoun United
10 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Rhode Island
03 Oct
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Rhode Island
10 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Rhode Island
03 Oct
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3 Rhode Island
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Tampa Bay 1
Miami FC 2
Louisville City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0
Detroit City 1
Hartford Athletic 2
Charleston 2
Rhode Island 1
New Mexico -
Phoenix Rising -
Lexington -
Colorado Springs -
El Paso Locomotive 2
San Antonio FC 1
Sacramento Republic -
FC Tulsa -
Quarter-finals
Miami FC -
Louisville City -
Hartford Athletic -
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
El Paso Locomotive -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
