Sport Picks
Charlestown Azzurri vs Belmont Swansea United
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Lisle Carr Oval, Lake Macquarie 
Match Events
11'
11'
Gueli M.
33'
33'
Gueli M.
44'
44'
Gueli M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW game between Charlestown Azzurri and Belmont Swansea United finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belmont Swansea United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belmont Swansea United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Belmont Swansea United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Belmont Swansea United a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlestown Azzurri | Belmont Swansea United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 22 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Belmont Swansea United
1:3
Mar 27, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Charlestown Azzurri
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Charlestown Azzurri
1:2
Apr 8, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlestown Azzurri Compare
Top Goalscorer Cahill M. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Belmont Swansea United Compare
Top Goalscorer Gueli M.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlestown Azzurri 10 / 100
Belmont Swansea United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlestown Azzurri Belmont Swansea United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Belmont Swansea United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Belmont Swansea United has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Charlestown Azzurri scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Belmont Swansea United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Charlestown Azzurri VS Belmont Swansea United
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlestown Azzurri
(Home) 16 Aug
Broadmeadow Magic FC
8 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
12 Aug
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 2 Edgeworth Eagles FC
09 Aug
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 2 Maitland
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5 Weston Workers Bears
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 2 Edgeworth Eagles FC
09 Aug
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 2 Maitland
15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5 Weston Workers Bears
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
24 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
Page 1 of 3
Belmont Swansea United
(Away) 23 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 1 Lambton Jaffas FC
02 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Belmont Swansea United
26 Jul
Kahibah
3 : 1 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
02 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Belmont Swansea United
26 Jul
Kahibah
3 : 1 Belmont Swansea United
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 48:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47:44 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 43:36 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 38:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:40 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 35:53 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:62 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
