Sport Picks
Charlestown Azzurri vs Newcastle Olympic
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Lisle Carr Oval, Lake Macquarie 
Match Events
12'
12'
Southcombe W.
75'
75'
Sato Y.
81'
81'
Cahill M. J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW game between Charlestown Azzurri and Newcastle Olympic finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Olympic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Newcastle Olympic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Newcastle Olympic carry the better recent record into this one.
- Newcastle Olympic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlestown Azzurri | Newcastle Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.75 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 1, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown Azzurri
7:1
Mar 1, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Newcastle Olympic
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Newcastle Olympic
3:2
Mar 2, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown Azzurri
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Newcastle Olympic
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlestown Azzurri Compare
Top Goalscorer Cahill M. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Newcastle Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Southcombe W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sato Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlestown Azzurri 10 / 100
Newcastle Olympic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlestown Azzurri Newcastle Olympic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Olympic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Charlestown Azzurri scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Difficult form: Newcastle Olympic registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Charlestown Azzurri VS Newcastle Olympic
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlestown Azzurri
(Home) 25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5 Weston Workers Bears
11 Jul
Cooks Hill United
4 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5 Weston Workers Bears
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
24 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
14 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Lambton Jaffas FC
10 May
Charlestown Azzurri
3 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Olympic
(Away) 26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Newcastle Olympic
0 : 0 Cooks Hill United
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
30 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
02 May
Valentine
1 : 6 Newcastle Olympic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 50:22 | 43 |
| 2 | Weston Workers Bears | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 36 |
| 3 | Maitland | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36:29 | 32 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 43:38 | 32 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37:31 | 29 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 35:31 | 22 |
| 8 | Valentine | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19:36 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle Olympic | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 38:36 | 21 |
| 10 | Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:36 | 17 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 31:47 | 17 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24:50 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
