Sport Picks
Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
Match Events
16'
16'
Calderon Vargas K. A.
22'
22'
Reilly W.
45'
45'
Abada L.
Assist: Biel P.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Charlotte FC and Atlanta United finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charlotte FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atlanta United haven't matched Charlotte FC's recent run of results.
- Charlotte FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 19%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte FC | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs Charlotte FC
0:2
Jul 23, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United
2:2
Apr 28, 2026 US Open Cup
Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs Charlotte FC
2:3
Mar 1, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlotte FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Calderon Vargas K. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abada L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Atlanta United Compare
Top Goalscorer Baez E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Almiron M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlotte FC 40 / 100
Atlanta United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlotte FC Atlanta United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atlanta United let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Charlotte FC scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Charlotte FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Charlotte FC VS Atlanta United
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlotte FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2 FC Dallas
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2 FC Dallas
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 DC United
15 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 4
Atlanta United
(Away) 10 Oct
Atlanta United
1 : 3 FC Cincinnati
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2 New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Atlanta United
20 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2 Atlanta United
01 Aug
Philadelphia Union
3 : 2 Atlanta United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
