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Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
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Match Events

1' Event
Bronico B.
Assist: Schnegg D.
9' Event
Abada L.
(Penalty)
39'
Schnegg D.

AI Match Summary

Charlotte FC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Charlotte FC
15%
Draws
40%
Columbus Crew
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Columbus Crew haven't matched Charlotte FC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 20%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte FC Columbus Crew
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.82 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew
3:1
May 24, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew
3:2
May 3, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC
4:2
Jul 17, 2024 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Columbus Crew
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bronico B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biel P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte FC 32 / 100
Columbus Crew 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte FC Columbus Crew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Charlotte FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Charlotte FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte FC VS Columbus Crew
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2
FC Dallas
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6

Columbus Crew

(Away)
10 Oct
Orlando City
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)