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Charlotte FC vs DC United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Kurokawa K.
44'
Hefti S.
55' Event
Munteanu L.
Assist: Peglow

AI Match Summary

Charlotte FC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Charlotte FC
35%
Draws
25%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • DC United haven't matched Charlotte FC's recent run of results.
  • Charlotte FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Charlotte FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 20%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte FC DC United
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.78 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Charlotte FC
1:2
Aug 22, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs DC United
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Charlotte FC
0:1
Jul 16, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs DC United
2:1
May 21, 2025 US Open Cup
DC United vs Charlotte FC
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Schnegg D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cleary W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

DC United Compare

Top Goalscorer Munteanu L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte FC 40 / 100
DC United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte FC DC United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlotte FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DC United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Charlotte FC scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Charlotte FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte FC VS DC United
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

DC United

(Away)
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1
Paderborn
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)