Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Charlotte FC vs New England Revolution

USA USA

MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Schnegg D.
16' Event
Toklomati I.
Assist: Cleary W.
27'
Miller P.

AI Match Summary

Charlotte FC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Charlotte FC
33%
Draws
27%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Charlotte FC have won more games recently than New England Revolution.
  • Charlotte FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 14%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte FC New England Revolution
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New England Revolution
1:0
May 2, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New England Revolution
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New England Revolution
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Toklomati I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

New England Revolution Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte FC 39 / 100
New England Revolution 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte FC New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Charlotte FC found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Charlotte FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte FC VS New England Revolution
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte FC

(Home)
23 May
Charlotte FC
1 : 0
New England Revolution
16 May
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
Toronto FC
13 May
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
New York City
09 May
Charlotte FC
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
02 May
New England Revolution
1 : 0
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution

(Away)
23 May
Charlotte FC
1 : 0
New England Revolution
16 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1
Minnesota United
13 May
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Nashville SC
09 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1
Philadelphia Union
02 May
New England Revolution
1 : 0
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)