Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union

USA USA

MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Westfield F.
19'
Diani D.
30' Event
Westwood A.
Assist: Toklomati I.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Charlotte FC and Philadelphia Union finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Charlotte FC
17%
Draws
13%
Philadelphia Union
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Charlotte FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Charlotte FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 14%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte FC Philadelphia Union
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC
2:1
Jul 28, 2024 Leagues Cup
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Westwood A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaha W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Philadelphia Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Jacques D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte FC 66 / 100
Philadelphia Union 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte FC Philadelphia Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte FC scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Philadelphia Union has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Charlotte FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte FC VS Philadelphia Union
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte FC

(Home)
25 Jul
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2
Charlotte FC
23 Jul
Charlotte FC
2 : 2
Atlanta United
23 May
Charlotte FC
1 : 0
New England Revolution
16 May
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
Toronto FC
13 May
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
New York City
Page 1 of 6

Philadelphia Union

(Away)
25 Jul
Philadelphia Union
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
22 Jul
Philadelphia Union
3 : 1
New York Red Bulls
24 May
Inter Miami
6 : 4
Philadelphia Union
16 May
Philadelphia Union
1 : 1
Columbus Crew
13 May
Orlando City
4 : 3
Philadelphia Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps16103337:1633
2Los Angeles FC18103534:1833
3San Jose Earthquakes17103435:2033
4Real Salt Lake1682628:2426
5Houston Dynamo1682623:2426
6FC Dallas1775532:2526
7St. Louis City1774623:2325
8Seattle Sounders1673619:2024
9Minnesota United1765619:2423
10Portland Timbers1763831:3221
11Los Angeles Galaxy1856724:2921
12San Diego FC1755731:2820
13Colorado Rapids17611026:2519
14Austin FC1745822:3517
15Sporting Kansas City17421118:4414
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC17123233:1239
2Inter Miami17114243:3037
3New England Revolution1692526:1929
4Chicago Fire1682630:2226
5New York City1774630:2325
6Charlotte FC1774628:2525
7FC Cincinnati1765641:4223
8New York Red Bulls1764726:3722
9DC United1757524:2722
10Orlando City1762928:4420
11Columbus Crew1754824:2619
12Toronto FC1737723:3116
13CF Montreal17431022:3315
14Philadelphia Union17341022:3113
15Atlanta United17331117:3012
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)