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Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

USA USA

USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Charlotte Independence host Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USL League One. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Charlotte Independence have averaged 2.63 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Chattanooga Red Wolves's 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Charlotte Independence slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.94 - 1.44) back Charlotte Independence to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Charlotte Independence
39%
Draws
31%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Charlotte Independence have won more games recently than Chattanooga Red Wolves.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 16%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte Independence Chattanooga Red Wolves
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
2:3
Oct 17, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
0:0
Jul 16, 2024 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte Independence 30 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte Independence Chattanooga Red Wolves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte Independence has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Charlotte Independence scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Chattanooga Red Wolves let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte Independence VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310