Sport Picks
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
Match Events
13'
13'
Marou S.
Assist: Skinner J.
37'
37'
Saydee P.
51'
51'
Lombardi A.
Assist: Hernandez P.
AI Match Summary
Chattanooga Red Wolves in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chattanooga Red Wolves.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charlotte Independence
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Charlotte Independence have won more games recently than Chattanooga Red Wolves.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Charlotte Independence taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 18%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte Independence | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.35 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:4
May 30, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
2:3
Oct 17, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlotte Independence Compare
Top Goalscorer Marou S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Skinner J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Lombardi A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hernandez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlotte Independence 58 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlotte Independence Chattanooga Red Wolves
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte Independence Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Charlotte Independence scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.
Charlotte Independence has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Chattanooga Red Wolves let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Charlotte Independence VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlotte Independence
(Home) 03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(Away) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Westchester SC
0 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Aug
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
