Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Charlotte Independence vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

USA USA

USL Cup American Legion Memorial Stadium
Fri, May 15, 2026
2 - 1
11:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Manzinga C.
Assist: Martinez E.
47'
Etou B.
52'
Souza V.

AI Match Summary

The USL Cup game between Charlotte Independence and Pittsburgh Riverhounds finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte Independence.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Charlotte Independence
39%
Draws
31%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal USL Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Charlotte Independence have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 20%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte Independence Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 USL Cup
Charlotte Independence vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1
Sep 18, 2021 USL Championship
Charlotte Independence vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1:0
Aug 14, 2021 USL Championship
Charlotte Independence vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1:0
Jul 3, 2021 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charlotte Independence
1:0
May 22, 2021 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charlotte Independence
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzinga C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte Independence 31 / 100
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte Independence Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Charlotte Independence scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Charlotte Independence went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte Independence VS Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spokane Velocity43016:69
2Sacramento Republic43017:38
3Athletic Club Boise43019:68
4Oakland Roots41034:64
5Las Vegas Lights41034:74
6Monterey Bay41038:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92