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Charlottesville Blues vs Bethesda SC

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USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Charlottesville Blues and Bethesda SC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bethesda SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Charlottesville Blues
22%
Draws
18%
Bethesda SC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Charlottesville Blues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charlottesville Blues come out ahead of Bethesda SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Charlottesville Blues's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Charlottesville Blues Clean Sheet 16%
Bethesda SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlottesville Blues Bethesda SC
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 USL League Two
Charlottesville Blues vs Bethesda SC
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlottesville Blues 57 / 100
Bethesda SC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlottesville Blues Bethesda SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlottesville Blues found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Bethesda SC conceded in 79% of 14 recent games.

Charlottesville Blues went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlottesville Blues VS Bethesda SC
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%