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Charlton U21 vs Leeds U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
McMillan E.
Assist: Burke N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Charlton U21
15%
Draws
39%
Leeds U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charlton U21 come out ahead of Leeds U21 on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Charlton U21 taking it.
  • Charlton U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Charlton U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Charlton U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Charlton U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton U21 Leeds U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.9 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premier League Cup
Charlton U21 vs Leeds U21
1:0
Jan 4, 2025 Premier League Cup
Leeds U21 vs Charlton U21
0:3
Sep 13, 2024 Premier League Cup
Charlton U21 vs Leeds U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer McMillan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Leeds U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton U21 38 / 100
Leeds U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton U21 Leeds U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlton U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlton U21 scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Leeds U21 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Charlton U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charlton U21 VS Leeds U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton U21

(Home)
23 Oct
Charlton U21
3 : 4
Cardiff U21
09 Oct
Stoke City U21
2 : 2
Charlton U21
06 Oct
Bristol City U21
4 : 1
Charlton U21
29 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Millwall U21
22 Sept
Charlton U21
3 : 1
Sheffield Utd U21
Page 1 of 7

Leeds U21

(Away)
18 Oct
Leeds U21
1 : 4
Crystal Palace U21
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2
Leeds U21
09 Oct
Leeds U21
3 : 1
Stockport U21
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0
Leeds U21
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4
Leeds U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Blackburn U21 3 1 1 1 7:9 4
3 QPR U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Bolton U21 3 0 2 1 5:8 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U21 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Leicester U21 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Cardiff U21 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
4 Plymouth U21 3 0 0 3 4:12 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 3 2 1 0 10:5 7
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Birmingham U21 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Gillingham U21 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Peterborough U21 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
4 Luton U21 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Preston U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burnley U21 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Fleetwood Town U21 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Sheffield Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Millwall U21 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 West Ham U21 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
2 Norwich U21 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Exeter U21 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
4 Reading U21 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry U21 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 Ipswich U21 3 1 1 1 8:8 4
3 West Brom U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bromley U21 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Leeds U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Stockport U21 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Stoke City U21 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Hull City U21 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Wycombe U21 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
4 Derby U21 2 0 0 2 3:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams