Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022 Champion Hill, London

Charlton U23

1 - 2

Derby U23

Our Tip

Match Events

Watson L.

(Penalty)

31'

Gavin D.

67'

Aghatise O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Derby U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Charlton U23

15%

Draws

Derby U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlton U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Charlton U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
85% — that's where the model lands on Charlton U23 taking it.
Charlton U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Derby U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%

Charlton U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Charlton U23	Derby U23
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	10
Draws	7	3
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	2.33	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.93	2.17
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2022 Premier League Cup

Charlton U23 vs Derby U23

1:2

Oct 11, 2021 Premier League Cup

Derby U23 vs Charlton U23

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gavin D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

Derby U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aghatise O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton U23 84 / 100

Derby U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Charlton U23 Derby U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlton U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlton U23 found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Derby U23 conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Derby U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Charlton U23 VS Derby U23

3.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 75%

88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton U23

(Home)

22 Jul

Charlton U23

3 : 0

Welling

16 Jul

Wealdstone

0 : 1

Charlton U23

12 Jul

Hampton & Richmond

3 : 2

Charlton U23

05 Jul

Neots

2 : 2

Charlton U23

02 Jul

Deal Town

2 : 6

Charlton U23

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Derby U23

(Away)

09 May

Crystal Palace U23

3 : 1

Derby U23

02 May

West Ham U23

5 : 0

Derby U23

25 Apr

Derby U23

0 : 1

Tottenham U23

15 Apr

Leicester U23

2 : 1

Derby U23

10 Apr

Derby U23

3 : 4

West Brom U23

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