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Charlton W vs Bristol City W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup The Valley, London
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Women's League Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Bristol City W have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Charlton W have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.47. Past meetings favor Bristol City W slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.00) point toward Bristol City W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Charlton W
15%
Draws
85%
Bristol City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bristol City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Charlton W haven't matched Bristol City W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bristol City W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bristol City W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bristol City W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Charlton W Clean Sheet 10%
Bristol City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton W Bristol City W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 WSL 2
Bristol City W vs Charlton W
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Bristol City W
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 WSL 2
Bristol City W vs Charlton W
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Bristol City W
1:2
Apr 23, 2023 WSL 2
Bristol City W vs Charlton W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton W 10 / 100
Bristol City W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton W Bristol City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol City W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Charlton W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Bristol City W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Charlton W VS Bristol City W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton W

(Home)
04 Oct
Brighton W
5 : 1
Charlton W
30 Sept
Crystal Palace W
3 : 0
Charlton W
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1
Manchester City W
23 Sept
Brighton W
4 : 0
Charlton W
19 Sept
Charlton W
1 : 4
London City Lionesses W
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Bristol City W

(Away)
04 Oct
Bristol City W
2 : 1
Southampton FC W
26 Sept
Burnley W
0 : 0
Bristol City W
20 Sept
Watford W
1 : 5
Bristol City W
12 Sept
Bristol City W
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
06 Sept
Sunderland W
4 : 1
Bristol City W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)