Sport Picks

England

Women’s FA Cup The Valley

Swindon W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Charlton W play Swindon W in the Women’s FA Cup. Charlton W are favorites here. Recently, Charlton W averaged 2.26 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Swindon W averaged 1.1 goals scored and 4.13 conceded. In past meetings, Charlton W won 5, Swindon W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 18, 2026 ended 10:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.56 for Charlton W and 1.50 for Swindon W. This points to a Charlton W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Charlton W

15%

Draws

14%

Swindon W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Charlton W picked up more points recently compared to Swindon W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.56 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Charlton W Clean Sheet 16%

Swindon W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Charlton W	Swindon W
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	22	6
Draws	6	0
Losses	6	24
Goals Scored	2.26	1.1
Goals Conceded	0.97	4.13
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Women’s FA Cup

Charlton W vs Swindon W

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

10:0

Jan 28, 2018 Women's National League South

Swindon W vs Charlton W

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

0:9

Nov 26, 2017 Women's National League South

Charlton W vs Swindon W

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

11:0

Sep 18, 2016 Women's National League South

Swindon W vs Charlton W

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Aug 21, 2016 Women's National League South

Charlton W vs Swindon W

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 0 - 0

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thestrup A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Bissell E.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

Swindon W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton W 67 / 100

Swindon W 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Charlton W Swindon W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlton W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Charlton W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.9%

1.59

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Charlton W attacking → ← attacking Swindon W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlton W scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Swindon W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.40 goals.

Charlton W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Swindon W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 18

3.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00