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Charlton W vs West Ham W Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Women's League Cup 2025/2026 The Valley, London
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Morgan F.
Assist: Houssein H.
46'
Sub
Csiki A. In: Pavi M.
Out: Csiki A.
46'
Sub
Newsham C. In: Muya K.
Out: Newsham C.

AI Match Summary

West Ham W in this Women's League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Charlton W
15%
Draws
85%
West Ham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Ham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charlton W lately — more wins on the board than West Ham W.
  • West Ham W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Charlton W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and West Ham W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Charlton W Clean Sheet 14%
West Ham W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton W West Ham W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.06 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Women's League Cup
Charlton W vs West Ham W
1:5
Oct 11, 2023 Women's League Cup
West Ham W vs Charlton W
2:1
Aug 14, 2022 Club Friendly Women
Charlton W vs West Ham W
1:2
Nov 18, 2020 Women's League Cup
Charlton W vs West Ham W
0:4
Dec 12, 2018 Women's League Cup
Charlton W vs West Ham W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradley K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

West Ham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton W 11 / 100
West Ham W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton W West Ham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Charlton W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

West Ham W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: West Ham W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlton W VS West Ham W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton W

(Home)
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1
Manchester City W
23 Sept
Brighton W
4 : 0
Charlton W
19 Sept
Charlton W
1 : 4
London City Lionesses W
13 Sept
Everton W
1 : 0
Charlton W
06 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 4
Liverpool W
Page 1 of 7

West Ham W

(Away)
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1
West Ham W
23 Sept
Tottenham W
0 : 1
West Ham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
12 Sept
West Ham W
2 : 1
London City Lionesses W
06 Sept
Tottenham W
3 : 1
West Ham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 3 3 0 0 8:4 8
2 Everton W 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
3 Nottingham W 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 Newcastle Utd W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool W 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Sheffield Utd W 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
3 Durham W 3 0 0 3 3:4 2
4 Sunderland W 3 1 0 2 1:7 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham W 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Charlton W 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Brighton W 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
4 Portsmouth W 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
5 Southampton FC W 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace W 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 London City Lionesses W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Ipswich W 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham W 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Aston Villa W 3 1 0 2 6:3 5
3 Birmingham W 3 2 0 1 5:8 4
4 Bristol City W 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)