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Chartres vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

France France

National 2 - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This National 2 - Group A 2022/2023 encounter between Chartres and Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Chartres averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Chartres, 2 wins for Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.02.23 ended in a 1:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Chartres and 1.11 for Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant, suggesting the primary value lies in the Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Chartres
30%
Draws
40%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Chartres picked up more points recently compared to Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Chartres Clean Sheet 21%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chartres Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

25.02.23 National 2 - Group A
Chartres vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
1:3
17.09.22 National 2 - Group A
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant vs Chartres
1:1
14.05.22 National 2 - Group A
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant vs Chartres
1:2
11.12.21 National 2 - Group A
Chartres vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0:2
17.04.21 National 2 - Group A
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant vs Chartres
0:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Chartres

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chartres 31 / 100
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chartres Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Chartres 33%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 32%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Chartres 29%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 42%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Chartres 30%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 40%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Chartres 32%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 38%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Chartres 27%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 44%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Chartres 35%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 46%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chartres attacking → ← attacking Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chartres have found the net in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant have conceded at least one goal in 78% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.

Chartres remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rouen30216358:2969
2Racing Club de France30178566:2959
3Chambly30169552:2557
4Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30139833:2948
5Saint-Malo301110941:3743
6Poissy301361143:4341
7Beauvais30912941:3739
8Blois Foot 41301091146:4239
9Saint-Pryve301091128:3339
10Granville309101142:4737
11Guingamp II301071337:4837
12Evreux308101247:5931
13Rennes II30771643:6328
14Vannes30591647:5824
15Caen II30591637:6224
16Chartres306101433:5323