Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chasetown vs Hinckley

England England

FA Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chasetown in this FA Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Chasetown
15%
Draws
35%
Hinckley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chasetown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chasetown lately — more wins on the board than Hinckley.
  • Win probability leans Chasetown's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Chasetown have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chasetown, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chasetown Clean Sheet 20%
Hinckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chasetown Hinckley
Matches Played 29 3
Wins 16 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.76 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2015 FA Cup
Chasetown vs Hinckley
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chasetown 49 / 100
Hinckley 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chasetown Hinckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chasetown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hinckley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Chasetown found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Chasetown stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chasetown VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chasetown

(Home)
12 Sept
Loughborough Students
4 : 3
Chasetown
29 Aug
Chasetown
3 : 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
28 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 2
Chasetown
16 Sept
Banbury
2 : 1
Chasetown
13 Sept
Chasetown
0 : 0
Banbury
Page 1 of 6

Hinckley

(Away)
02 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Hinckley
26 Sept
Chasetown
5 : 2
Hinckley
12 Sept
Hinckley
2 : 1
Redditch

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Gateshead -
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TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Oadby Town 1
Holbeach 3
Stourport 2
TBD -
Worcester -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County -
Stamford 3
Leamington 2
Newcastle Town 4
Coleshill Town 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Droylsden 2
Ossett Albion 1
Padiham 0
Lancaster 2
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Marine 2
Clitheroe 0
Runcorn Linnets 0
Washington 1
Hyde 3
Darlington FC 1
AFC Blackpool 0
Northwich Victoria 4
Whitley Bay 4
Matlock 3
Roofing 3
FC Congleton Town 4
Frickley 2
Maltby 0
TBD -
Chorley -
Harrogate -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay 0
Workington 5
Spennymoor 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Alsager 0
Burscough 1
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Barwell 4
Westfields 1
Leighton Town 2
Cogenhoe 3
FC Witham Town 2
Thurrock 1
Wroxham 1
King’s Lynn 4
Ashton United 3
FC Guisborough Town 2
Thackley 2
Abbey Hey 3
Deeping Rangers 6
Leek Town 4
Bedfont & Feltham 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Salford 6
Whitby 1
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Curzon Ashton -
Consett 3
Colne 1
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Bradford PA -
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Southport -
Sporting Khalsa 3
Wulfrunians 2
Long Eaton 0
Basford Utd. 1
Coalville Town 2
Stratford 0
Nantwich 0
Spalding United 1
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Farsley 1
Witton Albion 2
Armthorpe Welfare 4
AFC Liverpool 3
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Buxton 2
Chasetown 3
Grantham Town 0
Redditch 1
Hinckley 2
Kendal 5
Dunston 2
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Mickleover 1
Halesowen 2
Newton Aycliffe 2
Brighouse Town 0
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North Ferriby United -
Halifax -
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Guiseley -
Tranmere -
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Lincoln City -
Stourbridge 1
Tividale 0
Belper Town 1
Dunkirk 3
Corby -
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Shepshed 1
Rushall 4
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Kidderminster -
Macclesfield -
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Hednesford -
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Holwell 2
Bedworth United 4
Tamworth -
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Alfreton -
Brackley -
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Farnham 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Lincoln Utd. 2
Clipstone 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Rugby 3
Kettering 5
Market Drayton 0
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Telford -
Skelmersdale 3
Glossop North End 2
Goole 4
Bamber Bridge 6
Altrincham -
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Chester -
Whitehawk -
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Hampton & Richmond 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Bideford 3
Hamworthy United 1
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Gosport Borough -
Hastings 1
Thatcham 0
Rochester United 1
Herne Bay 3
Hayes & Yeading -
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Barnstaple Town 0
Poole Town 1
Maidenhead -
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Swindon Supermarine 0
Winchester City 4
Wimborne 3
Witheridge 2
Cheltenham Saracens 1
Blackfield & Langley 2
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Woking -
Basingstoke -
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Dorking Wanderers 0
Slough Town 1
Ebbsfleet -
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Chelmsford -
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Torquay -
Grays 5
Biggleswade United 0
Basildon 0
Hullbridge 1
Mildenhall 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
Saffron 0
Hanwell Town 1
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Welling -
Boreham Wood -
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Worthing FC 2
Thamesmead 1
Tilbury 3
Neots 6
Phoenix Sports 2
Lewes 0
Cambridge City 1
Hornchurch 2
Wealdstone -
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Brantham 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Portchester 3
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Mangotsfield 0
Brockenhurst 3
Oxford City -
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Bracknell Town 3
Shortwood 4
Lowestoft -
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Merstham 1
Bognor Regis 2
Didcot 5
VCD Athletic 4
Harrow Borough 0
Northwood 1
Chatham 1
Cray Wanderers 0
Shoreham 2
Eastbourne Town 3
Hoddesdon 3
Ashford Town 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon FC 1
Molesey 0
Arlesey 0
Brentwood 2
Eastbourne Borough -
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Hendon 1
Sudbury 3
Merthyr Town 2
Plymouth Parkway 0
Fleet Town 1
Hartley Wintney 5
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Dover Ath. -
Chesham 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
Cinderford Town 1
Paulton Rovers 2
Slimbridge 3
Greenwich Borough 2
Chessington & Hook 2
North Leigh 3
Hitchin 5
Peterborough Sports 3
Beaconsfield Town 1
Kirkley & Pakefield 2
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Canvey Island 0
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Staines 5
Faversham 3
Needham Market 1
Stanway Rovers 4
Carshalton 2
Pagham 1
Yaxley 1
East Thurrock Utd 3
Leiston 1
AFC Dunstable 0
Folkestone 2
Tonbridge 3
Kidlington 1
Godalming Town 0
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Gloucester City -
Aldershot -
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Hemel Hempstead -
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Cockfosters 1
Bury Town 2
Stortford -
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Sutton -
Bromley -
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Eastleigh -
Margate -
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Haringey Borough 0
Potters 3
Taunton Town 3
Tuffley Rovers 0
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Truro -
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Forest Green -
Braintree -
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Harlow 5
Bedford 1
Welwyn Garden 0
St Ives Town 1
Bodmin Town 2
Almondsbury UWE 0
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Bath City -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Bridport 2
Larkhall 5
Horsham YMCA 2
Burgess Hill 1
Histon 1
Aveley 5
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Cheltenham -
Chippenham Town 1
Frome Town 0
Hungerford 1
Bradford Town 3
Dartford -
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Heybridge 1
Uxbridge 3
Dunstable Town 2
Barton 1
Farnborough 3
Kingstonian 4
South Park 4
Leatherhead 2
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Maidstone -
St. Albans -
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Whitstable Town 1
Deal Town 3
Cirencester 4
Dorchester 2
Weymouth 1
Petersfield 3
Wingate & Finchley 4
Long Buckby 0
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Concord Rangers -
Hook Norton 1
Eastbourne United 0
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Quarter-finals
Gateshead -
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Solihull Moors 3
Oadby Town 1
Holbeach 1
Worcester 3
AFC Fylde 1
Stockport County 0
Stamford 0
Coleshill Town 2
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Barrow -
Wrexham -
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Droylsden 2
Lancaster 0
Boston United 0
Gainsborough 2
Marine 6
Washington 5
Hyde 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Whitley Bay 2
FC Congleton Town 1
Frickley 0
Chorley 2
Harrogate 1
Workington 0
Spennymoor 0
Burscough 2
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Grimsby -
Barwell 5
Cogenhoe 0
FC Witham Town 0
King’s Lynn 1
Ashton United 5
Abbey Hey 0
Deeping Rangers 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Salford 2
Curzon Ashton 1
Consett 1
Bradford PA 2
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Southport -
Sporting Khalsa 3
Basford Utd. 2
Coalville Town 0
Spalding United 3
United of Manchester 3
Witton Albion 1
Armthorpe Welfare 1
Buxton 6
Chasetown 5
Hinckley 2
Kendal 2
Stalybridge 3
Nuneaton 2
Halesowen 0
Newton Aycliffe 0
North Ferriby United 3
Halifax -
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Guiseley -
Tranmere -
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Lincoln City -
Stourbridge 3
Dunkirk 1
Corby 2
Rushall 3
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Kidderminster -
Macclesfield -
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Hednesford 2
Bedworth United 0
Tamworth 2
Alfreton 3
Brackley 3
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Lincoln Utd. 2
Rugby 3
Kettering 2
Telford 1
Skelmersdale 0
Bamber Bridge 2
Altrincham -
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Chester -
Whitehawk 4
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Bideford 0
Gosport Borough 7
Hastings 4
Herne Bay 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Poole Town 3
Maidenhead 5
Winchester City 3
Wimborne 1
Blackfield & Langley 6
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Woking -
Basingstoke 4
Slough Town 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Chelmsford 2
TBD -
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Torquay -
Grays 6
Hullbridge 0
Mildenhall 0
Hanwell Town 1
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Welling -
Boreham Wood -
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Worthing FC 4
Neots 3
Phoenix Sports 3
Hornchurch 5
Wealdstone 3
Biggleswade Town 1
Portchester 0
Brockenhurst 1
Oxford City 3
Shortwood 1
Lowestoft 1
Bognor Regis 2
Didcot 2
Northwood 1
Chatham 1
Eastbourne Town 2
Hoddesdon 2
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon FC 1
Brentwood 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Sudbury 1
Merthyr Town 0
Hartley Wintney 1
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Dover Ath. -
Chesham 2
Paulton Rovers 0
Slimbridge 1
North Leigh 4
Hitchin 2
Kirkley & Pakefield 0
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Enfield Town 1
Staines 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Carshalton 0
East Thurrock Utd 5
Leiston 3
Tonbridge 1
Kidlington 2
Gloucester City 4
Aldershot -
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Hemel Hempstead 3
Bury Town 0
Stortford 0
Sutton 2
Bromley -
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Eastleigh -
Margate 5
Potters 1
Taunton Town 3
Truro 5
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Forest Green -
Braintree -
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Harlow 3
St Ives Town 0
Bodmin Town 1
Bath City 2
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Larkhall 3
Horsham YMCA 3
Aveley 6
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Cheltenham -
Chippenham Town 3
Bradford Town 2
Dartford 0
Uxbridge 1
Dunstable Town 2
Kingstonian 0
South Park 2
Maidstone 6
St. Albans 2
Deal Town 1
Cirencester 1
Petersfield 3
Wingate & Finchley 2
Concord Rangers 1
Hook Norton 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Semi-finals
Gateshead -
TBD -
Solihull Moors 1
Worcester 2
AFC Fylde 9
Coleshill Town 0
TBD -
Barrow -
Wrexham -
TBD -
Droylsden 3
Gainsborough 4
Marine 2
Northwich Victoria 4
Whitley Bay 2
Chorley 3
Harrogate 3
Burscough 0
TBD -
Grimsby -
Barwell 1
King’s Lynn 0
Ashton United 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Salford 2
Bradford PA 1
TBD -
Southport -
Sporting Khalsa 3
Spalding United 2
United of Manchester 3
Buxton 1
Chasetown 1
Stalybridge 3
Nuneaton 1
North Ferriby United 2
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Tranmere -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 0
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Hednesford 2
Alfreton 4
Brackley 3
Rugby 1
Kettering 3
Bamber Bridge 4
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Whitehawk 4
Gosport Borough 3
Hastings 0
Poole Town 2
Maidenhead 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
TBD -
Woking -
Basingstoke 4
Chelmsford 2
TBD -
Torquay -
Grays 2
Hanwell Town 1
TBD -
Welling -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Worthing FC 1
Hornchurch 4
Wealdstone 5
Brockenhurst 1
Oxford City 2
Bognor Regis 4
Didcot 4
Eastbourne Town 1
Hoddesdon 1
Brentwood 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Hartley Wintney 2
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Chesham 2
North Leigh 0
Hitchin 1
Enfield Town 2
Staines 6
East Thurrock Utd 3
Leiston 1
Gloucester City 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead 2
Sutton 3
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Margate 4
Truro 1
TBD -
Forest Green -
Braintree -
TBD -
Harlow 4
Bath City 3
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Aveley 0
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Cheltenham -
Chippenham Town 3
Uxbridge 0
Dunstable Town 0
Maidstone 2
St. Albans 1
Petersfield 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Weston-super-Mare 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Gateshead 1
Worcester 2
AFC Fylde 1
Barrow 0
Wrexham 0
Gainsborough 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Chorley 1
Harrogate 1
Grimsby 4
Barwell 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Salford 1
Southport 0
Sporting Khalsa 1
United of Manchester 3
Stalybridge 2
North Ferriby United 1
Halifax 4
Guiseley 3
Tranmere 0
Lincoln City 2
Stourbridge 3
Kidderminster 0
Macclesfield 3
Alfreton 2
Brackley 3
Bamber Bridge 0
Altrincham 1
Chester 0
Whitehawk 2
Poole Town 0
Maidenhead 3
Woking 0
Basingstoke 3
Torquay 0
Grays 1
Welling 5
Boreham Wood 2
Hornchurch 1
Wealdstone 2
Bognor Regis 1
Didcot 4
Brentwood 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dover Ath. 2
Chesham 2
Enfield Town 1
Staines 2
Gloucester City 1
Aldershot 1
Sutton 0
Bromley 1
Eastleigh 2
Margate 1
Forest Green 2
Braintree 2
Harlow 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Cheltenham 4
Chippenham Town 0
Maidstone 2
St. Albans 2
Weston-super-Mare 1