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Chasetown vs Lichfield City Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Jul 12, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chasetown host Lichfield City in the Club Friendly 2025. Chasetown go into this one as the clear favorite. Chasetown have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Lichfield City's 1.08 scored and 3.15 conceded. Past meetings favor Chasetown slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.70 xG vs 0.93) point toward Chasetown. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chasetown
15%
Draws
0%
Lichfield City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chasetown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chasetown have won more games recently than Lichfield City.
  • Model gives Chasetown a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chasetown Clean Sheet 20%
Lichfield City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chasetown Lichfield City
Matches Played 28 13
Wins 15 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.39 3.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Chasetown vs Lichfield City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chasetown 85 / 100
Lichfield City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chasetown Lichfield City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chasetown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lichfield City has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

Difficult form: Lichfield City registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chasetown scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Chasetown has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chasetown VS Lichfield City
1 Goals Scored 0.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.4
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Chasetown

(Home)
12 Sept
Loughborough Students
4 : 3
Chasetown
29 Aug
Chasetown
3 : 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
28 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 2
Chasetown
16 Sept
Banbury
2 : 1
Chasetown
13 Sept
Chasetown
0 : 0
Banbury
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Lichfield City

(Away)
29 Aug
Lichfield City
0 : 5
Matlock
04 Jul
Lichfield City
2 : 4
Tamworth
06 Sept
Lichfield City
1 : 2
Corby
05 Jul
Lichfield City
0 : 1
Tamworth
17 Sept
Lichfield City
0 : 4
Boston United
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