Sport Picks
Chasetown vs Retford United
England
Northern Premier League 2010/2011 
Match Events
11'
11'
18'
18'
30'
30'
AI Match Summary
Chasetown in this Northern Premier League 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chasetown.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chasetown
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chasetown lately — more wins on the board than Retford United.
- Win probability leans Chasetown's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Northern Premier League 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chasetown Clean Sheet 20%
Retford United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chasetown | Retford United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 2.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Chasetown vs Retford United
6:0
Mar 29, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Retford United vs Chasetown
0:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chasetown 85 / 100
Retford United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chasetown Retford United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chasetown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Retford United has conceded goals in 100% of their last 32 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Chasetown scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Chasetown has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chasetown VS Retford United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Chasetown
(Home) 12 Sept
Loughborough Students
4 : 3 Chasetown
29 Aug
Chasetown
3 : 1 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
28 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 2 Chasetown
16 Sept
Banbury
2 : 1 Chasetown
13 Sept
Chasetown
0 : 0 Banbury
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Chasetown
3 : 1 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
13 Sept
Chasetown
0 : 0 Banbury
02 Sept
Chasetown
3 : 2 Worcester
26 Oct
Chasetown
2 : 1 Belper Town
05 Oct
Chasetown
1 : 0 Bromsgrove
Page 1 of 2
Retford United
(Away) 14 Jul
Retford United
1 : 2 Mansfield
19 Jul
Parkgate
1 : 3 Retford United
08 Jul
Mansfield
6 : 0 Retford United
16 Jul
Retford United
0 : 7 Mansfield
25 Jul
Retford United
7 : 2 Winterton Rangers
Page 1 of 7
19 Jul
Parkgate
1 : 3 Retford United
08 Jul
Mansfield
6 : 0 Retford United
20 Aug
Stapenhill
1 : 3 Retford United
25 Apr
Chasetown
6 : 0 Retford United
16 Apr
Bradford PA
2 : 0 Retford United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 42 | 30 | 8 | 4 | 108:36 | 98 |
| 2 | Colwyn Bay | 42 | 24 | 7 | 11 | 67:56 | 79 |
| 3 | Bradford PA | 42 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 84:55 | 77 |
| 4 | United of Manchester | 42 | 24 | 4 | 14 | 76:53 | 76 |
| 5 | North Ferriby United | 42 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 78:51 | 73 |
| 6 | Buxton | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 71:52 | 70 |
| 7 | Worksop | 42 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 72:54 | 69 |
| 8 | Kendal | 42 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 80:77 | 68 |
| 9 | Marine | 42 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Chasetown | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 76:59 | 66 |
| 11 | Matlock | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 74:59 | 66 |
| 12 | Northwich Victoria | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 66:55 | 63 |
| 13 | Stocksbridge | 42 | 17 | 6 | 19 | 75:75 | 57 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 42 | 16 | 5 | 21 | 57:62 | 53 |
| 15 | Mickleover | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 70:76 | 52 |
| 16 | Whitby | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 58:77 | 51 |
| 17 | Nantwich | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 68:90 | 46 |
| 18 | Frickley | 42 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 43:68 | 44 |
| 19 | Burscough | 42 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 56:73 | 43 |
| 20 | Hucknall | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 57:80 | 43 |
| 21 | Ossett Town | 42 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 45:103 | 32 |
| 22 | Retford United | 42 | 5 | 2 | 35 | 31:111 | 17 |
Promotion - Northern Premier League 2010/2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Northern Premier League 2010/2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Northern Premier League 2010/2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Northern Premier League 2010/2011 (Play Offs)
