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Chatelet vs Dender

Belgium Belgium

First Amateur Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Amateur Division 2018/2019 game between Chatelet and Dender finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chatelet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chatelet
15%
Draws
59%
Dender
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Dender haven't matched Chatelet's recent run of results.
  • Dender are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular First Amateur Division 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chatelet Clean Sheet 20%
Dender Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatelet Dender
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2019 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Dender
2:1
Nov 10, 2018 National Division 1
Dender vs Chatelet
1:1
Jan 13, 2018 National Division 1
Dender vs Chatelet
1:1
Oct 22, 2017 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Dender
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatelet 20 / 100
Dender 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatelet Dender

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dender Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chatelet scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Dender has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chatelet stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dender
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatelet

(Home)
27 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 0
Knokke
13 Apr
Virton
1 : 0
Chatelet
06 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 3
RFC Seraing
30 Mar
Dessel
1 : 0
Chatelet
23 Mar
Chatelet
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 7

Dender

(Away)
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
22 Aug
Dender
2 : 0
Beerschot VA
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
08 Aug
Dender
0 : 2
Knokke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thes Sport 30 19 5 6 62:28 62
2 Deinze 30 17 8 5 53:30 59
3 Virton 30 15 9 6 42:20 54
4 Lierse SK 30 13 9 8 42:36 48
5 Boom 30 13 6 11 44:40 45
6 RFC Liege 30 11 8 11 41:35 41
7 RFC Seraing 30 10 11 9 46:40 41
8 RWDM Brussels 30 11 7 12 39:45 40
9 Dender 30 10 10 10 42:40 40
10 Heist 30 10 8 12 29:44 38
11 Chatelet 30 9 9 12 30:37 36
12 Dessel 30 9 8 13 30:39 35
13 Oudenaarde 30 10 4 16 37:59 34
14 ASV Geel 30 9 4 17 42:62 31
15 Aalst 30 7 10 13 35:49 31
16 Knokke 30 6 6 18 35:45 24
Relegation - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)