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Chatelet vs Virton Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

First Amateur Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Amateur Division 2018/2019 game between Chatelet and Virton finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chatelet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chatelet
20%
Draws
57%
Virton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Virton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Virton a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Amateur Division 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Chatelet Clean Sheet 16%
Virton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatelet Virton
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 20
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 National Division 1
Virton vs Chatelet
1:0
Dec 8, 2018 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Virton
1:0
Apr 14, 2018 National Division 1
Virton vs Chatelet
1:0
Oct 8, 2017 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Virton
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatelet 10 / 100
Virton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatelet Virton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatelet found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Virton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Chatelet has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Virton
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatelet

(Home)
27 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 0
Knokke
13 Apr
Virton
1 : 0
Chatelet
06 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 3
RFC Seraing
30 Mar
Dessel
1 : 0
Chatelet
23 Mar
Chatelet
2 : 1
Dender
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Virton

(Away)
26 Sept
Oostkamp
0 : 3
Virton
20 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 1
Virton
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Virton
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thes Sport 30 19 5 6 62:28 62
2 Deinze 30 17 8 5 53:30 59
3 Virton 30 15 9 6 42:20 54
4 Lierse SK 30 13 9 8 42:36 48
5 Boom 30 13 6 11 44:40 45
6 RFC Liege 30 11 8 11 41:35 41
7 RFC Seraing 30 10 11 9 46:40 41
8 RWDM Brussels 30 11 7 12 39:45 40
9 Dender 30 10 10 10 42:40 40
10 Heist 30 10 8 12 29:44 38
11 Chatelet 30 9 9 12 30:37 36
12 Dessel 30 9 8 13 30:39 35
13 Oudenaarde 30 10 4 16 37:59 34
14 ASV Geel 30 9 4 17 42:62 31
15 Aalst 30 7 10 13 35:49 31
16 Knokke 30 6 6 18 35:45 24
Relegation - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)